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"home": "MIN", "away": "HOU", "probs": { "H": 0.3661436529896912, "D": 0.3042686209653539, "A": 0.32958772604495573 }, "ifHome": 7.02, "ifDraw": 7.355, "ifAway": 7.475, "swing": 0.45500000000000007, "rootFor": "A" }, { "id": "2026-10-10:LAFC:VAN", "date": "2026-10-10", "home": "LAFC", "away": "VAN", "probs": { "H": 0.3194816154222061, "D": 0.3061703287409925, "A": 0.374348055836801 }, "ifHome": 7.2700000000000005, "ifDraw": 7.290000000000001, "ifAway": 7.340000000000001, "swing": 0.07000000000000028, "rootFor": "A" }, { "id": "2026-10-06:CHI:VAN", "date": "2026-10-06", "home": "CHI", "away": "VAN", "probs": { "H": 0.29419964090119916, "D": 0.27206018823110073, "A": 0.4337401708676998 }, "ifHome": 7.295, "ifDraw": 7.295, "ifAway": 7.295, "swing": 0, "rootFor": "H" }, { "id": "2026-10-10:CLT:DAL", "date": "2026-10-10", "home": "CLT", "away": "DAL", "probs": { "H": 0.4695716177763444, "D": 0.2579341209912455, "A": 0.27249426123241144 }, "ifHome": 7.295, "ifDraw": 7.295, "ifAway": 7.295, "swing": 0, "rootFor": "H" } ] }, "schedule": { "ATX": { "remaining": 7, "home": 4, "expectedPoints": 7.717325433707467 }, "COL": { "remaining": 7, "home": 4, "expectedPoints": 8.77630345825216 }, "DAL": { "remaining": 7, "home": 4, "expectedPoints": 11.045396692077171 }, "HOU": { "remaining": 7, "home": 3, "expectedPoints": 9.49449546212523 }, "LAFC": { "remaining": 6, "home": 4, "expectedPoints": 9.803064927540738 }, "LAG": { "remaining": 6, "home": 3, "expectedPoints": 7.391290272617262 }, "MIN": { "remaining": 7, "home": 4, "expectedPoints": 8.651790427545528 }, "POR": { "remaining": 7, "home": 3, "expectedPoints": 9.484355852407894 }, "RSL": { "remaining": 7, "home": 3, "expectedPoints": 8.956427543136721 }, "SD": { "remaining": 7, "home": 3, "expectedPoints": 9.501787669131469 }, "SEA": { "remaining": 7, "home": 3, "expectedPoints": 8.460702192250093 }, "SJ": { "remaining": 7, "home": 3, "expectedPoints": 9.985328354713351 }, "SKC": { "remaining": 7, "home": 4, "expectedPoints": 6.059075329499696 }, "STL": { "remaining": 7, "home": 4, "expectedPoints": 11.1075192134606 }, "VAN": { "remaining": 8, "home": 2, "expectedPoints": 14.551469490468874 } }, "explanation": "This forecast uses current MLS standings, each team’s season-long scoring and defending record, the remaining schedule, and an assumed home-field advantage. It simulates every remaining match involving a Western Conference team 50,000 times, then counts how often Austin finishes in each position. Teams share the same result when they play each other. The percentages are estimates from a simple statistical model—not guarantees or calibrated betting odds." }